East Asian Growth Before and After the Crisis IMF Staff Papers Volume 46, No. 2 June 1999

نویسندگان

  • NICHOLAS CRAFTS
  • Nicholas Crafts
چکیده

The paper surveys the literature on the growth performance of the East Asian economies, evaluates the sustainability of that performance, and provides a preliminary assessment of their long-term growth prospects in the aftermath of the current crisis. It highlights special features of East Asian growth, including unusually high factor accumulation and a favorable demographic transition, but argues that total factor productivity growth has generally been somewhat disappointing. It argues that there are downside risks to the East Asian “developmental state” model, and that it may become less attractive as these economies mature. [JEL N15, N25, N35, O11, O47]

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test IMF Staff Papers Volume 46 No. 2 June 1999

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been to predict the Asian crisis? The results are mixed. Two of the models fail to provide useful forecasts. One model provides forecasts that are somewhat informative though still not re...

متن کامل

Globalization, Ideology, and Narratives of the East Asian Financial Crisis

In his paper, "Globalization, Ideology, and Narratives of the East Asian Financial Crisis," Ezra Yoo-Hyeok Lee analyzes the narratives of the East Asian financial "crisis" in 1997-98, arguing that it took place in the course of restructuring the world economy so that the first world would keep its hegemonic power. The East Asian financial crisis spread rapidly to the rest of the globe and in th...

متن کامل

Capital Flows and the International Financial System

It has become easier, with the passage of time, to forget what an extraordinary event the Asian financial crisis was. Before the crisis, the countries of east Asia had grown faster, for longer, than any other countries in recorded history. They had transformed their economies and the standard of living of their people in the course of a single generation. In 1960, some of the east Asian countri...

متن کامل

Introduction to Capital Flows and the International Financial System

It has become easier, with the passage of time, to forget what an extraordinary event the Asian financial crisis was. Before the crisis, the countries of east Asia had grown faster, for longer, than any other countries in recorded history. They had transformed their economies and the standard of living of their people in the course of a single generation. In 1960, some of the east Asian countri...

متن کامل

IMF Economic Forum Is financial globalization harmful for developing countries ?

serving as a starting point, a panel of IMF staff and distinguished outside researchers on May 27 debated financial globalization’s benefits and risks. Panelists were Eswar Prasad (IMF Asia and Pacific Department), Shang-Jin Wei (IMF Research Department)—two of the study’s authors—and C. Fred Bergsten (Director, Institute for International Economics (IIE)), Jeffrey Frankel (Professor, Kennedy S...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1999